Monday, November 15, 2010

CNN's CA Exit Polls

In Nevada, Asian Ams delivered 80% bloc vote to Sen. Reid, the Senate
majority leader.

In CA, 80-20 lost a battle (Brown won & Whitman lost) while gaining
strategic grounds. Strategically, 80-20 punishes any politician, D or R, who
ignores Asian Ams' rightful concern to be equal citizens. Brown courts unions.
But he was too busy for AsAms. Are we too timid to get his attention?
To
counter Brown's arrogance, 80-20 strategically stepped up and got into
1) a state-level race as it sooner or later must and 2) trying a SWING bloc vote,
as it sooner or later must.

Here are the CNN exit polls*. We again compare how AsAms voted in the
governor's race versus the US senate race, as we did in Sen. Reid's case.

"Governor, California, 3899 respondents
Vote by Race

--------------------- Jerry Brown ------- Meg Whitman -------- Others
White (62%) -------------46% ---------------- 50% ------------------ 4%
African-Am (9%) -------77% ---------------- 21% ------------------- 2%
Latino (22%) ----------- 64% ----------------- 30% ------------------ 6%
Asian (4%) ------------- 55% ----------------- 38% ------------------ 7%
Others (3%) ------------ 55% ---------------- 36% ------------------ 9% "

"US Senate, California, 3796 respondents
Vote by Race

----------------- Barbara Boxer --------- Carly Fiorina ------ Others
White (62%) ----------- 43% -------------------- 52% ----------------5%
African-Am (9%) ------80% -------------------- 17% --------------- 3%
Latino (22%) ----------- 65% -------------------- 28% --------------- 7%
Asian (5%) ------------- 59% -------------------- 34% --------------- 7%
Others (3%) ----------- 56% -------------------- 36% --------------- 8% "

Note that 1 out of every 5 Asian Ams chose NOT TO VOTE in the
governor's race
although they voted in the senate race. That caused the
% of Asian Am voters in the governor's race to be only 4% of the total votes
as compared with the 5% AsAm share in the senate race.

Such a difference in % is EXTREMELY unusual. It indicates that 1 out of
5 Asian voters agreed that Brown should be punished for ignoring our
concerns, but they couldn't bring themselves to vote for Whitman. A
fact that Brown should carefully note!!

When the above voters (1 out of 5 or 20%) are combined with the
38% who did vote Whitman, it means more than half of AsAm voters were
in favor of punishing Brown.

Overall, Brown beat Whitman by 11 pts, while Boxer beat Fiorina by 9;
hence Brown won the race by 2 more pts than Boxer. However,
so far as Asian Am. votes are concerned, Brown's winning margin is 8 pts
less than that of Boxer.

Shortly before 80-20 endorsed Whitman, Asian Ams favored Brown by
65 to 7 according to a Rasmussen poll. The final drastic difference
should alarm Gov. Brown. Will Brown now address Asian Ams'
concerns?


If he does, 80-20's California Coalition may be please to work with him.
Otherwise there is always the NEXT election. 80-20 may even shop
for an opponent for Brown in a Democratic primary 3 years hence and a
very tough Republican opponent for him 4 year from now.

One way or another 80-20 shall fight for Asian Ams' rights to be
equal citizens, using each election as a precious window.


Respectfully,
S. B. Woo, a volunteer
Acting President, 80-20 PAC, Inc., http://www.80-20initiative.net/

* Visit CNN's exit poll site 

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls.main/ , click on
"Governor Exit Polls" or "Senate Exit Polls"; then click on 
the state of CA.
 

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